PolyBot

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Traders

fcapanij27

0x3ad3b0305564662bc87179f437861d2034ac8344

Realised P&L
$-51.51
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$131.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 12:49Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.85$25.00
10-07 12:48Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?BUY0.2993664926$5.00
10-07 12:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-16 18:06Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.999$8.91
09-02 19:58Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
09-02 19:31Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0581280526$2.00
09-02 19:30Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.022999978$1.00
06-29 22:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
05-05 00:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.16$10.00
04-30 13:11Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.994$20.69
04-12 00:37Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7199999885$14.99
03-30 10:17US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.28$14.95
03-25 00:52US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5099999991$27.23
03-25 00:51US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.86$27.23
03-23 20:56Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0309999886$2.61