PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3A0a85fd0C91FB7A7123CD709f33a3E51E0737c6-1762224126819

0x3a0a85fd0c91fb7a7123cd709f33a3e51e0737c6

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$206.7k
Markets traded
393
Open portfolio
$545.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded393
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 02:18Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on September 29?BUY0.999$19.98
09-28 02:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on September 29?BUY0.989$9.89
09-28 02:17Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.991$19.82
09-28 02:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.999$102.90
09-27 04:29Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 28?BUY0.995$23.88
09-27 04:27Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.55$6.60
09-27 04:27Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.98$23.52
09-27 04:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 27?BUY0.997$4.99
09-27 04:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28?BUY0.996$10.50
09-27 04:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28?BUY0.9955851698$24.00
09-26 14:03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.9969999817$22.00
09-26 14:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?BUY0.999$20.00
09-26 14:01Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.98$3.00
09-26 13:59Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 27?BUY0.998$10.48
09-26 13:59Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 27?BUY0.9979457143$34.93