0x3A0a85fd0C91FB7A7123CD709f33a3E51E0737c6-1762224126819
0x3a0a85fd0c91fb7a7123cd709f33a3e51e0737c6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $206.7k
- Markets traded
- 393
- Open portfolio
- $545.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded393
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.82at 0.980US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$33.84at 0.735Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
- +$23.63at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?
- +$22.49at 0.890US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$22.47at 0.957Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-28 02:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 09-28 02:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 09-28 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.90 |
| 09-27 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $23.88 |
| 09-27 04:27 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.60 |
| 09-27 04:27 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $23.52 |
| 09-27 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-27 04:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.50 |
| 09-27 04:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9955851698 | $24.00 |
| 09-26 14:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999817 | $22.00 |
| 09-26 14:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.48 |
| 09-26 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.9979457143 | $34.93 |