PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AlexZ7

0x3896a566a86036bd4764c08b3ec6e2d400a2ece6

Realised P&L
$136.40
Volume
$241.6k
Markets traded
326
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded326
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.3920.180$307.80−$362.39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8400.981$196.10+$28.10
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.6200.580$188.50−$13.00
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? · No0.5500.940$188.00+$78.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.1900.340$136.00+$60.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8000.977$122.06+$22.06
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.960$95.95+$63.95
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4150.365$95.30−$13.19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.5500.740$74.00+$19.00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.4900.300$60.00−$38.00
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2000.105$42.00−$38.00
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.8870.975$25.44+$2.27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.5550.021$12.30−$320.69
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.019$11.70−$42.30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8550.971$9.71+$1.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 20:46Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.753$301.20
10-26 20:38Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.003$3.00
10-26 15:23Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.003860125$7.72
10-15 21:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.4499999964$50.00
10-15 21:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.55$82.50
10-15 21:38US x China Military clash before 2027?SELL0.972$21.24
09-21 05:39Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.19$47.88
09-06 01:01Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.55$55.00
09-06 01:01Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.19$76.00
08-28 19:25Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.49$98.00
08-28 19:25Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.2$80.00
07-23 17:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.53$371.00
07-20 17:00Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.34095$136.38
07-19 22:05Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.109$2.47
07-19 22:05Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1058473615$12.88