PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

AlexZ7

0x3896a566a86036bd4764c08b3ec6e2d400a2ece6

Realised P&L
$-191.02
Volume
$234.4k
Markets traded
321
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded321
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.4650.520$629.20+$66.00
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.6200.770$500.50+$97.50
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5790.786$393.25+$103.55
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.8870.956$283.07+$20.27
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3410.576$230.20+$93.82
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8400.964$192.70+$24.70
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2330.021$156.38$1.5k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8000.964$120.44+$20.44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.3800.325$97.50$16.50
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.895$89.50+$57.50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.5550.115$69.00$263.99
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7000.916$68.74+$16.24
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7240.424$42.44$29.94
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.3070.055$22.00$101.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.036$21.90$32.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 17:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.53$371.00
07-20 17:00Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.34095$136.38
07-19 22:05Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.109$2.47
07-19 22:05Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1058473615$12.88
07-19 19:57Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.627$8.15
07-18 21:48Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.01$9.00
07-18 21:47Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.009612$9.61
07-18 21:41Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.05$25.00
07-18 21:38France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.09$45.00
07-18 21:18Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.17$34.00
07-18 21:05France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.57$57.00
07-17 18:47Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.436$66.59
07-17 18:45Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.436$130.80
07-17 18:44China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.948$180.12
07-17 18:39Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.916$143.10