AlexZ7
0x3896a566a86036bd4764c08b3ec6e2d400a2ece6
- Realised P&L
- $136.40
- Volume
- $241.6k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$651.59at 0.431Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$495.39at 0.707Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$454.56at 0.387Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$350.00at 0.280Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?
- +$349.30at 0.601US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:46 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.753 | $301.20 |
| 10-26 20:38 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 15:23 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003860125 | $7.72 |
| 10-15 21:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 21:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $82.50 |
| 10-15 21:38 | US x China Military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $21.24 |
| 09-21 05:39 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $47.88 |
| 09-06 01:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 09-06 01:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $76.00 |
| 08-28 19:25 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 08-28 19:25 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 07-23 17:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $371.00 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.34095 | $136.38 |
| 07-19 22:05 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.109 | $2.47 |
| 07-19 22:05 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1058473615 | $12.88 |