AlexZ7
0x3896a566a86036bd4764c08b3ec6e2d400a2ece6
- Realised P&L
- $-191.02
- Volume
- $234.4k
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$659.78at 0.426Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$495.39at 0.707Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$454.56at 0.387Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$350.00at 0.280Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?
- +$349.30at 0.601US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 17:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $371.00 |
| 07-20 17:00 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.34095 | $136.38 |
| 07-19 22:05 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.109 | $2.47 |
| 07-19 22:05 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1058473615 | $12.88 |
| 07-19 19:57 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.627 | $8.15 |
| 07-18 21:48 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.00 |
| 07-18 21:47 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.009612 | $9.61 |
| 07-18 21:41 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 07-18 21:38 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 07-18 21:18 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 07-18 21:05 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 07-17 18:47 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.436 | $66.59 |
| 07-17 18:45 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.436 | $130.80 |
| 07-17 18:44 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.948 | $180.12 |
| 07-17 18:39 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.916 | $143.10 |