PolyBot

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Traders

0x3850561874258b06dad3ed1c054a9b8d7cd20e52

0x3850561874258b06dad3ed1c054a9b8d7cd20e52

Realised P&L
$-60.54
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$462.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2800.265$94.64$5.36
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm · Dallas Wings0.8101.000$61.73+$11.73
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics0.7900.875$55.38+$5.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.9561.000$52.29+$2.29
Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks · Golden State Valkyries0.8300.835$50.30+$0.30
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.5600.535$47.77$2.23
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.7230.525$36.32$13.68
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1400.095$33.93$16.07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5000.305$30.50$19.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 16:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.9561867261$50.00
09-23 15:30Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23?SELL0.9558198362$52.52
09-23 15:04Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23?BUY0.9098180357$50.00
09-23 04:57Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles SparksBUY0.829999998$50.00
09-23 04:57Chicago Sky vs. Washington MysticsBUY0.7899999997$50.00
09-23 04:56Dallas Wings vs. Seattle StormBUY0.8099999977$50.00
09-23 04:53Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5599999955$50.00
09-22 18:11Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?BUY0.7227722688$50.00
09-22 18:07Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1399999997$50.00
09-22 18:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2799999993$50.00
09-22 18:06Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-22?BUY0.6099999961$50.00
09-22 18:04Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.92$50.00
09-22 14:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2799999993$50.00
09-22 14:39Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?BUY0.64896166$50.00
09-22 14:38Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22?BUY0.7288542257$50.00