0x3850561874258b06dad3ed1c054a9b8d7cd20e52
0x3850561874258b06dad3ed1c054a9b8d7cd20e52
- Realised P&L
- $-60.54
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $462.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.265 | $94.64 | −$5.36 |
| Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm · Dallas Wings | 0.810 | 1.000 | $61.73 | +$11.73 |
| Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics | 0.790 | 0.875 | $55.38 | +$5.38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down | 0.956 | 1.000 | $52.29 | +$2.29 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks · Golden State Valkyries | 0.830 | 0.835 | $50.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.535 | $47.77 | −$2.23 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No | 0.723 | 0.525 | $36.32 | −$13.68 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.140 | 0.095 | $33.93 | −$16.07 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.305 | $30.50 | −$19.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.32at 0.671Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?
- +$3.65at 0.933Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces
- +$1.02at 0.925Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23?
- +$-51.45at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22?
- +$-51.47at 0.628Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9561867261 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 15:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.9558198362 | $52.52 |
| 09-23 15:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.9098180357 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 04:57 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 04:57 | Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 04:56 | Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 04:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 18:11 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.7227722688 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 18:07 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 18:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 18:06 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 18:04 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.92 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 14:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 14:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.64896166 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.7288542257 | $50.00 |