0x38266db1174da047028b5343180cca0d02002bc7
0x38266db1174da047028b5343180cca0d02002bc7
- Realised P&L
- $-138.42
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 505
- Open portfolio
- $164.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded505
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.93at 0.711US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$109.29at 0.246Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$61.34at 0.994MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$40.79at 0.994Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$38.81at 0.650 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:43 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.6558188893 | $18.54 |
| 09-25 00:37 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7299999964 | $16.07 |
| 09-25 00:33 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7655641501 | $21.09 |
| 09-25 00:05 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.6999999944 | $25.16 |
| 09-22 00:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9299999881 | $3.12 |
| 09-19 00:40 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.74 |
| 09-19 00:39 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.82 | $76.15 |
| 09-18 00:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:50 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:41 | Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0959999194 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 00:00 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.9949998119 | $3.20 |
| 08-24 00:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999984 | $3.07 |