baiyanggaoqian
0x381b87feb85472a6b7e5803dda85c9bf6882e2d3
- Realised P&L
- $-176.12
- Volume
- $3.67M
- Markets traded
- 1,123
- Open portfolio
- $101.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,123
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.87at 0.003Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$148.88at 0.003Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$99.82at 0.002Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$71.44at 0.107Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$66.69at 0.004Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 02:32 | Will Brice Matthews win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.90 |
| 07-08 02:32 | Will Leo De Vries win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.93 |
| 07-05 08:14 | Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.04 |
| 07-05 08:14 | Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.08 |
| 07-05 08:13 | Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 07-05 08:11 | Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.76 |
| 06-30 03:07 | Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 06-30 03:06 | Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.42 |
| 06-28 05:09 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $35.75 |
| 06-25 12:33 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $21.46 |
| 06-22 23:33 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.53 |
| 06-21 22:33 | Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.87 |
| 06-20 01:10 | Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $4.55 |
| 06-18 05:23 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.91 |
| 06-17 23:26 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.50 |