PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

farmLiquidity

0x3811f19e71da02bcbdfb34ac66d859fd09fe1d6d

Realised P&L
$-205.28
Volume
$39.4k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$120.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8200.935$22.80+$2.80
Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.430$17.20+$5.60
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.3000.570$15.19+$7.20
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.7100.430$10.75$7.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5800.905$9.89+$3.55
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.7000.415$9.47$6.51
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? · No0.8700.945$9.45+$0.75
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.6900.740$6.44+$0.43
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.065$4.87$9.37
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6600.585$4.39$0.56
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9200.976$2.72+$0.15
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4600.260$1.95$1.50
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$1.93$2.27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.4100.095$1.18$3.90
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.1600.100$0.97$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 23:21MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.125$1.20
05-28 10:15Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?SELL0.89$13.35
05-28 10:15Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?SELL0.89$13.35
05-28 06:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL0.2$5.00
05-28 06:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL0.2$5.00
05-28 06:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.38
05-28 06:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.38
05-28 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.75
05-28 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.75
05-28 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.75
05-28 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.75
05-28 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.75
05-28 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.75
05-28 06:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.03$0.75
05-28 05:50Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?SELL0.08$0.48