farmLiquidity
0x3811f19e71da02bcbdfb34ac66d859fd09fe1d6d
- Realised P&L
- $-205.28
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $120.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.54at 0.120US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$18.52at 0.080MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$15.54at 0.090Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
- +$14.36at 0.680Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$12.56at 0.081Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 23:21 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $1.20 |
| 05-28 10:15 | Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | SELL | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 05-28 10:15 | Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | SELL | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 05-28 06:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.38 |
| 05-28 06:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.38 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 05-28 05:50 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.48 |