PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x37DDC092f2e5dA141caD78AE566e29028716bf14-1761726523512

0x37ddc092f2e5da141cad78ae566e29028716bf14

Realised P&L
$273.07
Volume
$45.2k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.981$1.1k$0.56
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings? · Yes0.5950.931$469.64+$169.64
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3000.221$294.00$106.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.962$223.60+$23.60
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2950.567$192.30+$92.30
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3250.455$139.99+$39.99
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.2740.064$124.37$411.63
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.2400.018$7.29$92.71
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4290.031$7.22$92.78
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.2160.002$1.39$198.61
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$200.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0620.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$500.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 14:47UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.7599999998$1000.00
06-20 14:08Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?BUY0.7601515581$100.00
06-20 14:07Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?BUY0.689999999$100.00
06-12 11:59UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2$100.00
06-03 23:13Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.966$420.96
05-23 12:31Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.4295485158$100.00
05-23 12:29UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.705193752$200.00
05-21 02:21Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.2294722125$100.00
05-21 02:19Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3250232419$100.00
05-20 09:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8599999996$200.00
05-20 09:07Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999991$1.1k
05-20 09:03Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?BUY0.5820086024$200.00
05-20 08:13Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
05-20 08:11Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?BUY0.4391856023$100.00
05-20 06:13Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.4093127618$100.00