anbrola
0x376e404c0e6fbf1aeb7f849d0c10cd4cd136d654
- Realised P&L
- $-844.47
- Volume
- $111.0k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $95.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.245 | $58.92 | −$94.68 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.039 | $29.25 | −$75.75 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.004 | $7.39 | −$105.52 |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · No | 0.487 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.70 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.90 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.70 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.06 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1? · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$311.20at 0.181Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$227.23at 0.123Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?
- +$128.88at 0.301Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
- +$124.00at 0.330US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$86.00at 0.640 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 20:26 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.72 |
| 06-17 19:48 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1376541481 | $14.67 |
| 06-17 19:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0541546527 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 19:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0488379861 | $12.91 |
| 06-16 04:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.51 | $7.14 |
| 06-15 21:06 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 06-15 20:41 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 06-15 20:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 06-15 20:09 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 06-15 20:09 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 06-11 19:10 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $120.00 |
| 06-06 09:08 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $22.40 |
| 06-06 06:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | BUY | 0.79 | $86.90 |
| 06-05 15:07 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 05-30 17:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $114.00 |