PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x37416d29De150CB2E91593FC7d634D9dDDFCFedf-1734971101779

0x37416d29de150cb2e91593fc7d634d9dddfcfedf

Realised P&L
$-783.42
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$709.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2920.215$564.94$203.80
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1210.033$97.68$267.45
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1900.085$46.80$57.82
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$120.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$96.70
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$53.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$106.27
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$8.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$20.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00$456.09
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$15.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$148.32
Will there be a US Government shutdown? · No0.0050.000$0.00$51.80
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00$175.96
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$33.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 06:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2899999987$97.32
04-26 05:37Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.1899999989$104.62
04-23 00:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2999999974$58.43
04-23 00:31Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.1317367861$30.03
04-23 00:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.94$555.62
04-21 17:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3599999963$58.00
04-17 22:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
04-17 16:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.4899999983$105.00
04-14 05:32Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.1254248497$50.00
04-09 04:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.32$55.00
04-08 16:05Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.097$100.00
04-08 15:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2968153196$400.00
04-08 15:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.6899999995$260.00
04-07 23:15US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?SELL0.960357237$561.26
04-07 23:14US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.942$397.47