0x37416d29De150CB2E91593FC7d634D9dDDFCFedf-1734971101779
0x37416d29de150cb2e91593fc7d634d9dddfcfedf
- Realised P&L
- $-783.42
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $709.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.26at 0.639US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$297.47at 0.237US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$190.63at 0.617Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$161.27at 0.684US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$145.44at 0.450US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 06:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999987 | $97.32 |
| 04-26 05:37 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999989 | $104.62 |
| 04-23 00:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2999999974 | $58.43 |
| 04-23 00:31 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1317367861 | $30.03 |
| 04-23 00:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.94 | $555.62 |
| 04-21 17:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999963 | $58.00 |
| 04-17 22:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-17 16:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.4899999983 | $105.00 |
| 04-14 05:32 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1254248497 | $50.00 |
| 04-09 04:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $55.00 |
| 04-08 16:05 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.097 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 15:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2968153196 | $400.00 |
| 04-08 15:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $260.00 |
| 04-07 23:15 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.960357237 | $561.26 |
| 04-07 23:14 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.942 | $397.47 |