PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x37416d29de150cb2e91593fc7d634d9dddfcfedf

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$763.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2920.175$459.84−$308.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.155$132.01−$21.76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1290.075$118.89−$85.21
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1210.018$52.60−$312.53
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$120.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$96.70
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$53.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$106.27
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$8.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$20.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00−$456.09
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$148.32
Will there be a US Government shutdown? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$51.80
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00−$175.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 19:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999996$94.97
10-23 19:14Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.0248222945$13.67
10-23 19:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.031201428$87.27
10-23 17:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.041$33.93
10-23 17:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.1498714257$68.19
10-23 17:21Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.06$109.01
10-19 19:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$58.80
10-19 19:31Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.07$127.18
09-27 21:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.1202560893$135.92
09-27 21:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$137.86
07-25 06:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2899999987$97.32
04-26 05:37Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.1899999989$104.62
04-23 00:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2999999974$58.43
04-23 00:31Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.1317367861$30.03
04-23 00:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.94$555.62