0x37416d29de150cb2e91593fc7d634d9dddfcfedf
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $763.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.26at 0.639US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$297.47at 0.237US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$190.63at 0.617Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$161.27at 0.684US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$145.44at 0.450US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999996 | $94.97 |
| 10-23 19:14 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0248222945 | $13.67 |
| 10-23 19:07 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.031201428 | $87.27 |
| 10-23 17:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $33.93 |
| 10-23 17:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1498714257 | $68.19 |
| 10-23 17:21 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $109.01 |
| 10-19 19:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $58.80 |
| 10-19 19:31 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $127.18 |
| 09-27 21:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1202560893 | $135.92 |
| 09-27 21:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $137.86 |
| 07-25 06:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999987 | $97.32 |
| 04-26 05:37 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999989 | $104.62 |
| 04-23 00:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2999999974 | $58.43 |
| 04-23 00:31 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1317367861 | $30.03 |
| 04-23 00:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.94 | $555.62 |