PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SBFDRT

0x371c90ad624763ddfe3c0b889b5fdc2ddd61806c

Realised P&L
$358.06
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$12.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8290.972$3.68+$0.54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9180.969$2.30+$0.12
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.7580.955$2.29+$0.47
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9500.977$2.05+$0.06
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.8320.994$1.65+$0.27
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11? · Yes0.7700.046$0.11−$1.67
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$1.78
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$1.69
Suns vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.7900.000$0.00−$3.00
Mavericks vs. Magic · Magic0.6500.000$0.00−$1.73
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$1.96
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$1.47
Astros vs. Red Sox · Astros0.5300.000$0.00−$1.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 03:35Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?BUY0.7699999048$1.78
09-18 10:45Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat SharipovBUY0.8299999679$2.07
09-08 07:06Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.7399999103$1.98
09-08 07:06Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?SELL0.654$1.09
08-23 10:55Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.95$1.99
08-23 10:54Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.54$1.09
08-13 11:10Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?BUY0.98$1.73
08-06 11:11Will Trump pardon SBF by December 31?BUY0.9399999888$1.68
07-30 08:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.82$1.74
07-23 11:29Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.7699999074$1.58
07-16 12:00Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?BUY0.8499999761$1.78
07-09 09:36S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?BUY0.85$1.58
07-09 09:36Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.52$1.59
07-01 14:02Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.9779999917$1.64
06-24 15:25Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.859999821$1.73