FortunaFelix
0x370c671980712b4014fc6900766c0c6c66923eb1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $423.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,934
- Open portfolio
- $422.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,934
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$393.31at 0.458Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$358.11at 0.464Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$340.00at 0.226US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$199.15at 0.110Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$191.80at 0.486Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:37 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | SELL | 0.1851103867 | $33.50 |
| 09-26 17:37 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | SELL | 0.1881863354 | $60.60 |
| 09-26 17:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.5499999549 | $1.22 |
| 09-26 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 17:25 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.64 |
| 09-26 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0307337687 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 17:21 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.92 |
| 09-26 17:18 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.041 | $1.92 |
| 09-26 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.1699999981 | $2.66 |
| 09-26 17:16 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.042 | $2.66 |
| 09-26 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4599999447 | $2.33 |
| 09-26 17:02 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0221081728 | $1.76 |
| 09-26 16:50 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.0221854545 | $0.98 |