PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mmiikka

0x364f935ccafae7bb980616b81999239ed816562c

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$178.5k
Markets traded
3,696
Open portfolio
$49.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,696
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.818$8.18+$3.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$7.79+$2.79
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No0.9500.978$7.51+$0.21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9790.981$5.02+$0.01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.5000.958$4.79+$2.29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3560.221$4.41$2.72
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.595$2.98+$0.48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8000.959$2.94+$0.49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.405$2.03$0.48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.182$1.82$3.17
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · Yes0.1860.090$1.45$1.55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.5000.043$0.21$2.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7AM ET · Up0.6180.000$0.00$5.00
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 11? · Up0.5800.000$0.00$11.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:52Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBUY0.8799999859$5.00
09-17 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.8399999933$5.00
09-17 11:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.86$5.00
09-17 08:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.6799999238$5.00
09-17 05:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.9299998419$5.00
09-16 19:41San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.93$6.00
09-16 19:37Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
09-16 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.99$10.00
09-16 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.8$2.00
09-16 08:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.96$5.00
09-16 08:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.9$10.00
09-16 07:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.95$10.00
09-16 07:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.7799999813$5.00
09-16 07:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.96$10.00
09-16 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.99$10.00