0x35d44846FB2e9bd1686b050A4CAe30cDE9B7f15B-1777562039908
0x35d44846fb2e9bd1686b050a4cae30cde9b7f15b
- Realised P&L
- $988.89
- Volume
- $58.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$536.56at 0.893Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$253.14at 0.922Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
- +$90.14at 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$73.63at 0.867Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
- +$65.11at 0.081Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:59 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4062033017 | $97.73 |
| 09-12 17:17 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6441943443 | $98.61 |
| 09-01 01:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1373605178 | $96.66 |
| 08-23 18:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999998 | $970.92 |
| 08-21 09:36 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4684278339 | $97.43 |
| 08-21 09:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3277839417 | $1.9k |
| 08-20 22:55 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.5881973704 | $97.89 |
| 08-20 22:52 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | SELL | 0.2616704937 | $127.63 |
| 08-20 22:51 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.3984125414 | $194.33 |
| 07-24 20:54 | Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8862335387 | $566.64 |
| 07-24 02:08 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | SELL | 0.9950129026 | $572.21 |
| 07-11 17:36 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $201.58 |
| 07-09 20:27 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $4.64 |
| 07-09 20:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3166692051 | $196.69 |
| 07-04 19:27 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8399999955 | $127.53 |