0x35d44846FB2e9bd1686b050A4CAe30cDE9B7f15B-1777562039908
0x35d44846fb2e9bd1686b050a4cae30cde9b7f15b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $47.7k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.455 | 0.355 | $3.4k | −$957.51 |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes | 0.761 | 0.740 | $2.7k | −$75.20 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.270 | $1.6k | −$302.73 |
| Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · No | 0.886 | 0.875 | $559.46 | −$7.18 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.20 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$995.22 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.32at 0.920Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
- +$97.99at 0.436Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
- +$96.69at 0.161Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$76.36at 0.862Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
- +$72.34at 0.079Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 20:54 | Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8862335387 | $566.64 |
| 07-24 02:08 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | SELL | 0.9950129026 | $572.21 |
| 07-11 17:36 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $201.58 |
| 07-09 20:27 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $4.64 |
| 07-09 20:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3166692051 | $196.69 |
| 07-04 19:27 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8399999955 | $127.53 |
| 07-04 19:26 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.34 | $131.78 |
| 07-04 00:26 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.7899999994 | $166.75 |
| 07-04 00:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1361453603 | $172.34 |
| 07-03 01:55 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3299999988 | $127.91 |
| 07-03 01:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.123 | $73.21 |
| 07-03 01:43 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.065 | $61.32 |
| 07-02 01:34 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.7770870141 | $285.04 |
| 07-02 01:12 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.6558430643 | $292.62 |
| 06-29 19:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4417171241 | $2.4k |