PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

robika04

0x35a8a03a475c636d4d28e7b831ea14f44708d0d2

Realised P&L
$-170.03
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$5.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0360.020$2.78$2.22
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.205$1.28$0.72
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0460.011$0.48$1.52
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$0.41$0.59
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5100.037$0.15$1.85
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1300.011$0.09$0.91
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2800.004$0.01$0.99
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00$5.00
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00$2.00
Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$2.00
US strike on Colombia by March 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Up0.4920.000$0.00$21.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down0.3760.000$0.00$3.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.2860.000$0.00$152.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-04 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-04 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.7899999631$3.00
06-26 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.35$3.27
06-26 22:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00
06-26 22:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.29999982$1.00
06-26 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
06-26 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.64$2.73
06-26 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.6099998597$1.00
06-26 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.3799999012$1.00
06-26 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSELL0.41$2.18
06-26 22:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
06-26 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.4199998236$1.00
06-26 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSELL0.67$1.39
06-26 22:29Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.4799998272$1.00