0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff
0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.617 | 0.635 | $655.63 | +$19.10 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.423 | $538.15 | −$38.25 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.648 | 0.365 | $423.74 | −$328.32 |
| Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.370 | 1.000 | $297.14 | +$187.14 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.863 | 0.815 | $242.40 | −$14.27 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.764 | 0.555 | $184.60 | −$69.55 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.755 | $82.58 | +$12.58 |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · No | 0.677 | 0.555 | $78.95 | −$17.35 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $70.16 | −$23.39 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.355 | $59.20 | −$40.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$352.01at 0.645Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$325.34at 0.576Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$306.73at 0.624Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$237.80at 0.442Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
- +$187.36at 0.302Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:28 | Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8629870475 | $256.67 |
| 10-27 09:02 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.5795887398 | $281.86 |
| 10-22 05:43 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8091971941 | $103.82 |
| 10-22 05:43 | Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7601064918 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 05:40 | Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 05:32 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.5399999996 | $150.00 |
| 10-22 05:31 | Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3700058063 | $110.00 |
| 10-22 05:29 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.6772545102 | $569.48 |
| 10-22 04:47 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.92193343 | $261.16 |
| 10-13 18:24 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8425435079 | $113.65 |
| 10-13 18:22 | Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7899999988 | $100.74 |
| 10-02 10:50 | Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6799999959 | $39.98 |
| 10-02 10:49 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 10:36 | Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6769284664 | $99.99 |
| 10-02 10:34 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6435808802 | $100.26 |