0x3564035c81c8b0a0105db16dbf6a15fc1db75cff
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.651 | 0.705 | $911.58 | +$69.41 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.613 | 0.655 | $743.76 | +$48.06 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.505 | $743.30 | +$76.18 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.632 | 0.905 | $605.91 | +$182.75 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No | 0.583 | 0.355 | $298.51 | −$191.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$335.37at 0.569Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$311.28at 0.624Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$237.80at 0.442Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
- +$187.36at 0.302Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$119.32at 0.182Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 22:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5381843087 | $267.36 |
| 07-25 22:56 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999993 | $274.13 |
| 07-25 22:56 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $555.68 |
| 07-16 01:04 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5499999987 | $148.16 |
| 07-16 01:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6699999958 | $152.40 |
| 07-16 01:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $104.39 |
| 07-16 01:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.421 | $210.18 |
| 07-15 08:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999986 | $103.94 |
| 07-15 08:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819997765 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 08:27 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $109.50 |
| 07-11 04:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1819999984 | $90.86 |
| 07-11 04:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3739999979 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 03:59 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $202.21 |
| 06-27 06:16 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999999 | $777.77 |
| 06-27 06:16 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.9800919273 | $799.83 |