Rol
0x355cc4870bda9789e72d9a3a6f495c716ffde6d4
- Realised P&L
- $15.8k
- Volume
- $675.4k
- Markets traded
- 496
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded496
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.094Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$6.4kat 0.354Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
- +$2.7kat 0.744Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?
- +$1.8kat 0.530Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.7kat 0.609Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 16:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3107899335 | $354.00 |
| 10-19 05:56 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4299999975 | $44.00 |
| 10-19 05:56 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2759999993 | $28.40 |
| 10-19 05:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-19 05:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $9.65 |
| 10-08 15:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.846 | $150.26 |
| 10-06 06:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999976 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 06:50 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $77.78 |
| 09-29 20:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.1079084233 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 20:21 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.1042273327 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 12:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 12:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 12:48 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 12:48 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5809999986 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 12:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5629999982 | $100.00 |