Dir3
0x352184a2cca0e185ad92bc6bf4fa42055b7e1ea9
- Realised P&L
- $25.74
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $47.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.67at 0.398Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$52.93at 0.232Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
- +$34.34at 0.686Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$16.46at 0.233Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?
- +$13.72at 0.826Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 00:46 | Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 06-23 00:45 | Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0569999831 | $3.00 |
| 06-23 00:44 | Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 00:43 | Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 00:43 | Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0569999831 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 12:23 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999954 | $3.00 |
| 06-17 10:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1049999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 10:08 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 10:07 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999966 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 01:17 | Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.1071428571 | $3.00 |
| 06-02 01:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 16:04 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 07:40 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 15:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 03:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |