PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dir3

0x352184a2cca0e185ad92bc6bf4fa42055b7e1ea9

Realised P&L
$1.52
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$57.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2740.185$23.60$11.40
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2810.146$7.27$6.73
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4580.080$4.17$19.83
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.059$3.37$6.63
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.5200.850$3.27+$1.27
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No0.0900.055$3.06$1.94
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2740.095$2.43$4.57
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2380.186$2.34$0.66
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.4890.150$1.84$4.16
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.6100.090$1.48$8.52
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.5000.230$1.38$1.62
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1070.105$0.99$0.01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$0.84$4.16
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.3600.059$0.81$4.19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.085$0.61$1.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:09Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-15 03:35Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.2379999814$3.00
09-15 03:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999923$5.00
09-09 09:00Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
08-24 03:10Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
08-24 03:09Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.25$4.00
08-21 00:02Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2010988582$3.00
08-20 23:56Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-23 00:46Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.08$3.00
06-23 00:45Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0569999831$3.00
06-23 00:44Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.209999974$5.00
06-23 00:43Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-23 00:43Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0569999831$3.00
06-20 12:23Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999954$3.00
06-17 10:10Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1049999826$5.00