PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

USER4841518

0x350c11cdca54c7174c4038e18973672d0cd372de

Realised P&L
$-45.36
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$84.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9630.980$30.51+$0.51
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.3500.615$8.79+$3.79
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4700.795$8.46+$3.46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.095$7.92−$2.08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8480.852$5.02+$0.02
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · T10.8300.825$4.97−$0.03
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.5900.585$4.96−$0.04
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · Top Esports0.4600.455$4.95−$0.05
Will Top Esports Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.0380.091$4.79+$2.79
Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.4100.285$2.09−$0.91
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs · LYON0.0900.085$1.89−$0.11
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.5730.014$0.12−$4.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports0.6000.000$0.00−$4.00
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs · Team WE0.3980.000$0.00−$11.83
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 04:58LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.8299999967$5.00
11-02 04:58LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.5899999493$5.00
11-02 04:58LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.0899999969$2.00
11-02 04:57LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-31 10:46Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4099999535$3.00
10-31 10:46Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)BUY0.549999945$3.00
10-31 10:45LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.59999997$4.00
10-31 10:45Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-31 10:44LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.75$5.00
10-31 10:44LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.6$3.00
10-30 16:22Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)BUY0.4499999438$2.00
10-30 16:20Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-30 13:48LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.2$2.00
10-27 02:03LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8$3.00
10-27 02:03LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSELL0.17$1.89