dshu
0x34e105228778a5bf3aa1f6dab3a824b9ae67e549
- Realised P&L
- $-9.18
- Volume
- $63.5k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $34.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.022Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.80at 0.639Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.50at 0.010Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.41at 0.013Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.13at 0.988Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:35 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:34 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:33 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:33 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 09-25 04:32 | Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.37 | $0.73 |
| 08-30 08:23 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9569998232 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 08:22 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:22 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:22 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |