0x34dfaf5490d5e78ef85fe62bff8b507611ddba27
- Realised P&L
- $-15.83
- Volume
- $774.68
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $108.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.77at 0.260Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$7.74at 0.280Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$5.29at 0.600Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$4.90at 0.300Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.76at 0.320Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999815 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 22:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 14:17 | Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.38999998 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 06:16 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999804 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 22:16 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999785 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 14:15 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999748 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7407407407 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 21:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999804 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 13:53 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7299999827 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 04:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5499999897 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 20:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 12:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.10 |
| 08-01 04:27 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999836 | $7.17 |
| 07-31 20:27 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.70 |
| 07-31 12:25 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |