PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x34dc80F95407Cd8E02be6cd7437027547c4dd280-1771870222841

0x34dc80f95407cd8e02be6cd7437027547c4dd280

Realised P&L
$959.84
Volume
$48.9k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.7470.845$1.0k+$117.78
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? · No0.8860.920$311.53+$11.53
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026? · No0.7760.439$285.60−$219.39
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9060.947$181.93+$7.93
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7980.850$107.62+$6.62
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.9250.959$105.65+$3.64
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.6320.845$100.30+$25.30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.9400.930$98.94−$1.06
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · Yes0.8700.625$66.09−$25.91
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.3020.320$54.06+$3.06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8100.825$50.93+$0.93
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7800.755$48.40−$1.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · No0.9200.865$47.01−$2.99
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2460.305$43.39+$8.39
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.3280.265$40.35−$9.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:41Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.16$10.71
11-01 07:44Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.329177056$20.00
11-01 07:13Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.8199999967$30.00
11-01 07:12Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.9399999996$100.00
11-01 07:04Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
11-01 07:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.992$28.50
11-01 06:59Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7867797012$100.00
11-01 06:56Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?BUY0.91$100.00
11-01 06:50Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?BUY0.82$37.00
11-01 06:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.39$8.12
11-01 06:48Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?SELL0.81$12.57
11-01 05:46Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8199999909$9.00
11-01 05:45Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7879212057$100.00
11-01 05:43Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7863800547$100.00
11-01 05:42Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.85$25.00