PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x34796213Bf8E746d943Ca9dd90126ba1D5bC0126-1771463027731

0x34796213bf8e746d943ca9dd90126ba1d5bc0126

Realised P&L
$-16.44
Volume
$580.13
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$8.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.025$1.82$3.18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · No0.5901.000$1.69+$0.69
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1200.035$1.44$3.56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3820.512$1.34+$0.34
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? · Yes0.1500.055$0.73$1.27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2530.162$0.64$0.36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4300.145$0.34$0.66
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 18:37Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
04-23 18:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?BUY0.29999982$0.94
04-23 18:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
04-13 17:30Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
04-13 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.5599998432$0.94
04-11 23:54Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.268999812$1.00
04-09 23:36US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
04-09 15:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.54$0.93
04-09 15:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.52$0.93
04-08 19:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.6099998597$0.94
04-08 10:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSELL0.99$1.87
04-08 09:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.93
04-07 02:47Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
04-06 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.5699998233$0.94
04-06 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.54$0.93