PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

boligendan

0x335f5761882fb8094f8edf33036fdd547b7c51c4

Realised P&L
$851.44
Volume
$90.5k
Markets traded
445
Open portfolio
$827.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded445
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9250.935$101.09+$1.08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1330.080$89.19−$60.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6100.805$65.99+$15.98
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9120.960$52.08+$2.58
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9500.975$51.29+$1.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.975$50.76+$0.76
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.815$49.70−$0.30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9600.945$49.22−$0.78
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.8900.865$48.60−$1.40
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2500.235$47.00−$3.00
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · No0.9000.905$43.85+$0.24
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.355$38.59−$11.41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9200.915$26.24−$0.14
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.785$26.17+$4.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8500.885$19.61+$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 10:21Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8199999967$50.00
10-01 10:20Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.25$50.00
09-30 19:55Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?SELL0.609$22.22
09-30 09:39Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?BUY0.9569999995$50.00
09-30 09:03US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?BUY0.9873349305$50.00
09-29 17:20Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.69$23.89
09-29 17:02Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.73$19.53
09-29 15:08Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.62$2.02
09-29 14:52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.86$10.00
09-29 14:35Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.8599999983$50.00
09-28 19:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$6.72
09-28 19:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$0.40
09-28 19:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$0.40
09-28 19:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$0.40
09-28 19:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$0.40