PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

shahidali

0x331e76fa0db4996fe67a55abb6ba0ac03afe458c

Realised P&L
$94.94
Volume
$179.2k
Markets traded
795
Open portfolio
$31.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded795
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.7860.815$11.40+$0.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9770.993$9.93+$0.16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6200.435$1.40−$0.60
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · Yes0.7000.875$1.25+$0.25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4160.510$1.23+$0.23
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 0.5 · Over0.8731.000$1.14+$0.14
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2900.305$1.05+$0.05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9320.970$1.04+$0.04
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9700.978$1.01+$0.01
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7400.735$0.99−$0.01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1390.087$0.63−$0.37
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.3840.151$0.59−$0.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.105$0.17−$0.83
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0000.009$0.06+$0.06
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 20:07Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5BUY0.74$1.00
09-25 19:48Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.8$10.00
09-25 19:47Türkiye vs. France: O/U 0.5BUY0.8729999511$1.00
09-25 19:39Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in First HalfSELL0.999$26.43
09-25 19:36Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.9929999998$25.00
09-25 19:21Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.88$0.07
09-25 18:56Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?SELL0.998$279.44
09-25 18:14Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.999$279.72
09-25 18:14Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?SELL0.998$279.44
09-25 18:04Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.999$279.72
09-25 17:34Will Latvia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.999$1.00
09-25 17:21Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.829999502$1.00
09-25 17:21Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-25 09:11Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
09-25 08:12Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.999$279.72