Hermnann
0x3285ada1211d38e5c785a6a1a157d4224db6f63d
- Realised P&L
- $-292.70
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$415.00at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$223.01at 0.489Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$192.59at 0.521US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$144.84at 0.554Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
- +$84.00at 0.720Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 13:22 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0593448221 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 13:22 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0428636531 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 12:54 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0422585788 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 12:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.1031435026 | $12.33 |
| 07-27 12:46 | Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $15.20 |
| 07-24 11:10 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9519999978 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 10:40 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 10:17 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | BUY | 0.1583039554 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 10:17 | Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? | BUY | 0.1219750502 | $13.00 |
| 07-23 10:15 | Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? | BUY | 0.0709525299 | $7.40 |
| 07-23 10:15 | Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0704364991 | $7.00 |
| 07-23 10:14 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | BUY | 0.140625 | $9.00 |
| 07-23 10:07 | Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9634237707 | $400.00 |
| 07-23 10:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.5538194116 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 10:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.293 | $11.18 |