PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xingaze

0x325fe0ebff00b61cf658bb580b698f84986f8e0e

Realised P&L
$-10.7k
Volume
$272.5k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6930.725$1.6k+$72.26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5100.445$1.6k$234.58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.8700.875$1.2k+$7.02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6890.000$0.00$1.7k
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00$443.19
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$84.17
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$754.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 14:27Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.87$1.2k
09-02 14:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.56$1.1k
09-02 14:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.36$685.44
09-02 14:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.37$74.00
08-20 12:11Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.72$249.12
08-20 12:11Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.7$24.39
08-20 12:10Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$1.9k
08-16 20:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.67$1.1k
08-16 20:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.66$352.43
08-16 20:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.69$396.09
08-16 20:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.68$64.60
08-16 20:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.43$1.9k
07-28 18:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.995$3.65
07-28 18:30Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.69$205.05
07-28 18:30Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.995$207.15