xingaze
0x325fe0ebff00b61cf658bb580b698f84986f8e0e
- Realised P&L
- $-10.7k
- Volume
- $272.5k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.725 | $1.6k | +$72.26 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.445 | $1.6k | −$234.58 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.875 | $1.2k | +$7.02 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.689 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$443.19 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.17 |
| Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$754.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.429MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.556Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.556Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$847.80at 0.460US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$803.87at 0.843US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 14:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.2k |
| 09-02 14:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.1k |
| 09-02 14:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $685.44 |
| 09-02 14:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 08-20 12:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $249.12 |
| 08-20 12:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $24.39 |
| 08-20 12:10 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.9k |
| 08-16 20:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.1k |
| 08-16 20:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $352.43 |
| 08-16 20:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $396.09 |
| 08-16 20:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $64.60 |
| 08-16 20:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.9k |
| 07-28 18:31 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.65 |
| 07-28 18:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $205.05 |
| 07-28 18:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $207.15 |