xingaze
0x325fe0ebff00b61cf658bb580b698f84986f8e0e
- Realised P&L
- $-9.0k
- Volume
- $257.3k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.565 | $2.5k | −$327.29 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.875 | $1.8k | +$629.64 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.445 | 0.655 | $1.0k | +$329.68 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.687 | 0.705 | $843.10 | +$21.37 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.689 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$443.19 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.17 |
| Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$754.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.420MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.546Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.556Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$847.80at 0.460US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$803.87at 0.843US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 18:31 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.65 |
| 07-28 18:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $205.05 |
| 07-28 18:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $207.15 |
| 07-17 10:14 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $383.62 |
| 07-17 10:14 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $194.40 |
| 07-17 10:14 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $194.80 |
| 07-17 10:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $233.06 |
| 07-17 10:12 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $235.97 |
| 07-10 15:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.8k |
| 07-01 09:55 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.053012565 | $46.41 |
| 06-28 13:34 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.72 | $575.62 |
| 06-28 13:32 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.29 |
| 06-28 13:32 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.29 |
| 06-28 13:32 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.71 | $11.36 |
| 06-28 13:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $637.70 |