chimpboy
0x320b5a396191d1d054bfd273d57621b08ae8a74c
- Realised P&L
- $-12.78
- Volume
- $570.00
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $193.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.956 | $95.55 | −$0.35 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.840 | $83.95 | −$0.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.125 | $12.50 | −$13.19 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.018 | $1.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 7? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Predators vs. Maple Leafs · Predators | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.20 |
| Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.57at 0.788Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$5.26at 0.895Will England win on 2026-10-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.256914 | $25.69 |
| 10-06 15:06 | Predators vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-06 15:01 | Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 10-06 14:48 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 10-06 14:42 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 10-06 14:35 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.88 |
| 10-06 14:30 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $95.90 |
| 10-06 12:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.847 | $84.70 |
| 10-06 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |