PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3196fc1992b19294e7a5397a346539160fd9ec59

Realised P&L
$24.04
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$63.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1900.245$25.79+$5.79
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.330$22.30$2.70
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1600.205$12.81+$2.81
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1880.210$2.24+$0.24
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0370.015$0.42$0.58
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · Yes0.6000.005$0.18$19.82
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? · Yes0.0970.001$0.10$19.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 16:51Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.04$5.00
09-06 16:51Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?BUY0.16$15.00
09-06 15:59Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?BUY0.0974195035$20.00
09-06 15:58Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?BUY0.599999994$20.00
09-06 15:57Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
09-06 15:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999938$25.00
07-19 20:07Will Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?BUY0.2178112653$10.00
07-18 22:12Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.0389999963$10.00
07-04 23:06Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.16$10.00
07-04 23:01Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.0699999874$5.00
06-29 10:31Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
05-20 00:56Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
05-17 02:44Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.3737519478$19.90
05-14 17:36Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999893$49.75
04-11 21:32Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.4199999789$9.95