0x317CABbEe0D9dc068e03DF944Cda86a2690D8586-1773738009099
0x317cabbee0d9dc068e03df944cda86a2690d8586
- Realised P&L
- $12.71
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $138.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.075 | $89.60 | −$124.86 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.685 | $29.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.645 | $18.70 | −$1.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 26? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.003 | $0.07 | −$1.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? · No | 0.520 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$12.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.47at 0.592Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-2.76at 0.701Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 11:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.39 |
| 09-26 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.44 |
| 09-24 09:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 10:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999979 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 15:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899998965 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 14:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 09:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1807117083 | $214.46 |