0x31588e10003cc566f4cf025e267fa66dfeb99df1
- Realised P&L
- $60.93
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $159.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.82at 0.266US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$57.15at 0.250Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
- +$29.80at 0.210Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
- +$27.99at 0.405Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$13.97at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.689999994 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 13:03 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 09-15 16:10 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-15 07:41 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999962 | $8.00 |
| 09-11 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $8.00 |
| 09-07 16:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5299999907 | $8.00 |
| 09-07 16:13 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |
| 09-07 07:57 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $8.00 |
| 09-03 23:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999887 | $8.00 |
| 09-03 12:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999986 | $8.00 |
| 08-26 23:48 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999748 | $8.00 |
| 08-21 12:44 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July? | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |
| 08-13 06:27 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.7599999886 | $8.00 |
| 08-11 22:15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.02 |
| 08-07 08:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.48 |