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0x31436bde35c25c3714e0c3e7fbd14a22107581b1
- Realised P&L
- $-48.7k
- Volume
- $2.08M
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $13.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.498US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$4.9kat 0.742US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$3.5kat 0.549US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.809US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.807Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:59 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $18.75 |
| 07-12 18:15 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.1 | $189.97 |
| 07-12 18:06 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 07-12 16:28 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 07-12 16:15 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.3 | $150.00 |
| 07-12 16:01 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 07-11 16:47 | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 07-11 16:41 | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.1805666667 | $27.09 |
| 07-11 16:37 | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.787 | $157.40 |
| 07-11 16:36 | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.7972727 | $159.45 |
| 07-11 16:36 | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.804 | $241.20 |
| 07-09 20:35 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6225 | $62.25 |
| 07-09 20:24 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6275 | $62.75 |
| 07-07 09:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.9k |
| 06-07 13:42 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |