PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3140c81075aa367aaaC40F97Cfc0EE9fED74b176-1764718464081

0x3140c81075aa367aaac40f97cfc0ee9fed74b176

Realised P&L
$-12.7k
Volume
$683.8k
Markets traded
635
Open portfolio
$670.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded635
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.0660.065$581.49$11.87
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0810.029$35.59$64.41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0980.026$27.10$72.90
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0920.018$18.91$81.09
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0950.015$7.60$42.40
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No0.2700.000$0.00$13.50
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$818.00
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Tatsuro Taira0.6100.000$0.00$42.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5670.000$0.00$3.4k
Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$39.00
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuria0.8100.000$0.00$125.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal0.3400.000$0.00$4.0k
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 30? · Yes0.8420.000$0.00$21.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:12Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Ilia SimakinBUY0.91$9.10
09-17 05:11Phan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent BaxBUY0.94$9.40
09-17 03:22Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.7555529412$51.38
09-17 03:07Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.652$22.17
09-17 02:18Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.7425928571$10.40
09-17 02:04Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.69$9.66
09-17 02:03Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.8$9.60
09-17 00:58Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.65$49.40
09-17 00:42Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.7$27.30
09-16 23:54Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.6836111111$24.61
09-16 23:09Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.67$9.38
09-16 23:04Athletics vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.85$9.35
09-16 23:04Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.67$9.38
09-16 19:45Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela CeBUY0.667$90.71
09-16 19:37Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela CeBUY0.649$27.26