dafahao01
0x313156c982e4d550d4a2a362014bdecce5e78db2
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $149.9k
- Markets traded
- 5,012
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,012
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.87at 0.429Solana Up or Down - March 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$202.07at 0.487Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$141.18at 0.287Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$133.97at 0.322XRP Up or Down - March 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$125.51at 0.364Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:31 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0764447997 | $184.10 |
| 09-16 06:27 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0570503324 | $6.01 |
| 07-30 06:04 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0949999961 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 09:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2999999992 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 09:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2999999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-24 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-22 11:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0869999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 05:29 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0488857488 | $299.85 |
| 07-18 05:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0410738313 | $297.00 |
| 07-18 05:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 07-18 04:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-18 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 07-18 04:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 07-17 16:15 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.1423712873 | $384.57 |
| 07-17 15:10 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0759492419 | $200.00 |