PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dafahao01

0x313156c982e4d550d4a2a362014bdecce5e78db2

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$149.9k
Markets traded
5,012
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,012
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2730.175$1.0k−$574.49
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0560.021$144.42−$251.93
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.023$41.82−$158.18
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0950.055$11.58−$8.42
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.0830.053$6.42−$3.58
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? · Yes0.0660.035$5.34−$4.66
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$4.10
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.2750.000$0.00−$5.20
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Down0.2540.000$0.00−$0.96
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$1.45
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$2.40
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.5390.000$0.00−$5.21
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Down0.5390.000$0.00−$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:31Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0764447997$184.10
09-16 06:27Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0570503324$6.01
07-30 06:04Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0949999961$20.00
07-24 09:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2999999992$200.00
07-24 09:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2999999997$500.00
07-24 03:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3099999997$500.00
07-22 11:46Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0869999996$200.00
07-18 05:29Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0488857488$299.85
07-18 05:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0410738313$297.00
07-18 05:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.52$2.60
07-18 04:50Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
07-18 04:50Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.55$2.75
07-18 04:48Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.45$2.25
07-17 16:15Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.1423712873$384.57
07-17 15:10Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0759492419$200.00