PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

avger

0x3129813a51d43026d3f7a4d0d6b0e189857f22ed

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$609.9k
Markets traded
907
Open portfolio
$845.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded907
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes0.7000.710$198.80+$2.80
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.945$141.75+$24.75
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0240.077$96.88+$66.88
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1550.141$94.81−$9.44
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.2800.390$70.20+$19.80
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0370.045$62.40+$12.00
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0600.075$37.50+$7.50
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0300.021$34.53−$15.54
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0600.054$27.25−$2.75
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0310.025$24.73−$5.33
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0220.015$19.72−$10.20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2900.183$18.35−$10.65
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.123$12.35−$6.65
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5800.373$6.44−$3.56
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.1890.001$0.10−$38.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:01Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey KingSELL0.052236016$2.21
11-01 11:54Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey KingBUY0.1179999982$5.00
11-01 01:20Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.982$371.50
11-01 01:16Cavaliers vs. BucksBUY0.9886973516$1000.00
11-01 01:13Kings vs. GrizzliesBUY0.8199999984$50.00
11-01 01:11Hawks vs. PelicansBUY0.993$1000.00
11-01 01:11Cavaliers vs. BucksBUY0.974$300.00
10-31 04:06Lakers vs. WarriorsSELL0.5324472316$34.81
10-31 04:03Lakers vs. WarriorsSELL0.54$35.31
10-31 03:47Lakers vs. WarriorsSELL0.22$3.79
10-31 03:47Lakers vs. WarriorsBUY0.7799999986$102.00
10-31 02:19Lakers vs. WarriorsBUY0.2899999884$5.00
10-31 02:01Rockets vs. MavericksSELL0.62$24.60
10-31 02:00Rockets vs. MavericksSELL0.76$30.16
10-31 01:50Pacers vs. HeatBUY0.9818970275$1.1k