avger
0x3129813a51d43026d3f7a4d0d6b0e189857f22ed
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $609.9k
- Markets traded
- 907
- Open portfolio
- $845.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded907
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.477Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$732.89at 0.582Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$486.18at 0.354Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
- +$454.34at 0.527Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
- +$414.68at 0.867Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:01 | Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey King | SELL | 0.052236016 | $2.21 |
| 11-01 11:54 | Shanghai Sharks vs. Nanjing Monkey King | BUY | 0.1179999982 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 01:20 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $371.50 |
| 11-01 01:16 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.9886973516 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 01:13 | Kings vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 01:11 | Hawks vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.993 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 01:11 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.974 | $300.00 |
| 10-31 04:06 | Lakers vs. Warriors | SELL | 0.5324472316 | $34.81 |
| 10-31 04:03 | Lakers vs. Warriors | SELL | 0.54 | $35.31 |
| 10-31 03:47 | Lakers vs. Warriors | SELL | 0.22 | $3.79 |
| 10-31 03:47 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.7799999986 | $102.00 |
| 10-31 02:19 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 02:01 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | SELL | 0.62 | $24.60 |
| 10-31 02:00 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | SELL | 0.76 | $30.16 |
| 10-31 01:50 | Pacers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.9818970275 | $1.1k |