PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x310DF5D5D48BAA38050EB76d5E611a40623FBEd0-1759164332082

0x310df5d5d48baa38050eb76d5e611a40623fbed0

Realised P&L
$594.92
Volume
$73.1k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$366.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.4370.125$93.32$232.68
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2690.075$56.25$145.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5601.000$53.54+$23.54
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5040.130$38.69$111.31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.335$33.50+$5.50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4960.302$19.05$12.20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2940.159$17.83$15.13
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1850.055$13.99$33.01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.3700.335$9.05$0.95
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0450.040$8.68$1.32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2100.065$6.50$14.50
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2200.120$5.45$4.55
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1960.090$4.58$5.41
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2150.072$3.38$6.62
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.215$2.78$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 13:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
07-24 16:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.389999986$10.00
07-03 20:08Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1666666667$10.00
06-22 12:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5599999978$30.00
06-16 08:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.629999988$10.00
06-15 12:58Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.21$21.00
06-15 10:55Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.045488527$10.00
06-15 10:54Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.28$28.00
06-15 08:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
06-14 10:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4$50.00
06-11 17:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$6.59
06-11 17:36Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.3020958685$47.24
06-08 10:40Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.3$3.56
06-08 10:39US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.95$40.95
06-08 10:01Iran closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.999$49.95