0x310DF5D5D48BAA38050EB76d5E611a40623FBEd0-1759164332082
0x310df5d5d48baa38050eb76d5e611a40623fbed0
- Realised P&L
- $594.92
- Volume
- $73.1k
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $366.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$807.20at 0.271Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$552.57at 0.269Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
- +$196.97at 0.410Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
- +$164.75at 0.211Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
- +$139.20at 0.056US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 16:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 20:08 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1666666667 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 12:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999978 | $30.00 |
| 06-16 08:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 12:58 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 06-15 10:55 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.045488527 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 10:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 06-15 08:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 10:58 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 17:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.59 |
| 06-11 17:36 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.3020958685 | $47.24 |
| 06-08 10:40 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.56 |
| 06-08 10:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $40.95 |
| 06-08 10:01 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |