NOIZYUV
0x30db2d6f662bcc534cb80fb3c6163f44eb9733c0
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $478.6k
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.299Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
- +$1.1kat 0.119Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$1.1kat 0.613Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$792.97at 0.011Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$604.51at 0.723US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 19:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.0150548318 | $37.28 |
| 08-14 19:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $199.33 |
| 08-07 20:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 09:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 09:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6544119756 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 09:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2877 | $86.31 |
| 08-05 10:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.68 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 14:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $76.00 |
| 08-04 14:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.052 | $0.78 |
| 08-04 14:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.07 | $35.00 |
| 08-04 14:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 08-04 14:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $106.11 |
| 08-04 14:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $126.00 |