PolyBot

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Traders

NOIZYUV

0x30db2d6f662bcc534cb80fb3c6163f44eb9733c0

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$478.6k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3470.305$3.7k$513.75
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · No0.5200.855$689.36+$270.25
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3580.245$93.10$43.10
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1520.095$54.27$32.52
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.1300.055$8.46$11.54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1500.205$4.10+$1.10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? · Yes0.0100.004$2.28$2.72
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0640.007$1.35$10.25
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$35.40
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$92.75
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$21.09
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$40.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 19:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.0150548318$37.28
08-14 19:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.13$199.33
08-07 20:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.01$10.00
08-06 09:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.2999999982$100.00
08-06 09:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6544119756$100.00
08-06 09:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.2877$86.31
08-05 10:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.15$30.00
08-04 20:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.001$0.68
08-04 20:22Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.10
08-04 14:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.19$76.00
08-04 14:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.052$0.78
08-04 14:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.07$35.00
08-04 14:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.17$34.00
08-04 14:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.26$106.11
08-04 14:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.18$126.00