trader-30cc79b0
0x30cc79b0acff35d82194aa81a2b067e026c352fc
- Realised P&L
- $3.03
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $34.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.79at 0.947MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.58at 0.708Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
- +$1.01at 0.865Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.98at 0.587Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$0.71at 0.952Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969990329 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:29 | Portland State vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:29 | Portland State vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:20 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:14 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:14 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:37 | Western Kentucky vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:18 | Western Kentucky vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:51 | Western Kentucky vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.01 |
| 09-14 13:24 | Western Kentucky vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:34 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929993546 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:32 | Western Kentucky vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:01 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |