0x30c43ae1e1b2b533e0af3488af7ff8949d9bc8e6
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $30.77
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.845 | $17.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.145 | $11.87 | −$3.13 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.009 | $1.34 | −$1.66 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$261.35at 0.602US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$240.41at 0.843US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$171.49at 0.680US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$98.92at 0.540US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$69.21at 0.436US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 16:49 | Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.1832809213 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 08:47 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $5.43 |
| 10-14 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $5.22 |
| 10-13 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $5.79 |
| 10-08 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:54 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2261162384 | $206.78 |
| 10-08 17:53 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.7699999918 | $16.00 |
| 10-08 15:24 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $5.85 |
| 10-06 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:42 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | SELL | 0.975 | $32.38 |
| 10-05 07:17 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4890219559 | $50.00 |