PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x30c43ae1e1b2b533e0af3488af7ff8949d9bc8e6

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$30.77

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.7700.845$17.56+$1.56
Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.1830.145$11.87−$3.13
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.0190.009$1.34−$1.66
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 16:49Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1832809213$15.00
10-19 08:47France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?BUY0.019$3.00
10-14 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSELL0.63$5.43
10-14 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.5799999768$5.00
10-13 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.71$5.22
10-13 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00
10-08 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSELL0.66$5.79
10-08 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-08 17:54Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2261162384$206.78
10-08 17:53Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.7699999918$16.00
10-08 15:24Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.005$1.00
10-06 10:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSELL0.82$5.85
10-06 10:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.699999972$5.00
10-05 07:42No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?SELL0.975$32.38
10-05 07:17Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4890219559$50.00