oPushinPchegou
0x30bcac93cf1f695064b7fca0bb6e056b531ac428
- Realised P&L
- $-21.6k
- Volume
- $394.8k
- Markets traded
- 738
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded738
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.534NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$2.8kat 0.654Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
- +$1.9kat 0.281MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$980.49at 0.708Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$879.73at 0.560NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 01:58 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $147.65 |
| 08-21 01:53 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $201.00 |
| 08-21 01:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.9623881323 | $284.80 |
| 08-21 01:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $148.80 |
| 08-21 01:52 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.71 | $277.65 |
| 08-21 01:52 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $301.27 |
| 06-22 21:20 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 06-22 21:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6769999777 | $6.80 |
| 06-22 21:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $16.71 |
| 06-22 21:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6769999777 | $6.80 |
| 06-22 20:27 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6269999894 | $8.35 |
| 06-22 20:17 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 06-22 17:57 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999656 | $3.72 |
| 06-22 17:44 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0379999771 | $1.56 |
| 06-22 17:23 | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |