PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x30530fc2298001dafb50be179e0d94c862d08f2b

Realised P&L
$-32.76
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$99.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$15.94+$0.94
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.6500.735$9.05+$1.05
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? · Yes0.4340.511$7.06+$1.06
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3900.385$6.91$0.09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5500.545$5.95$0.05
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0160.013$5.91$1.09
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8700.835$5.76$0.24
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0140.013$5.49$0.51
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2900.395$5.45+$1.45
Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2100.185$5.29$0.71
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.8580.858$5.00$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4300.425$4.94$0.06
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.2700.260$3.85$0.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0290.026$3.65$0.35
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0220.019$2.59$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:28Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0220165851$3.00
08-03 22:26US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-03 22:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999129$6.00
08-03 22:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
08-03 22:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.028510335$4.00
08-03 22:19Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.1849999385$2.00
08-02 20:39Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.2699999656$4.00
08-01 10:34Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.6499999878$8.00
08-01 10:33Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?BUY0.4339999839$6.00
08-01 08:37Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.6999999825$4.00
07-31 15:00Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.0690000011$5.00
07-29 20:45Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.619999969$4.00
07-22 21:18Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0446162998$3.00
07-22 21:16Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2099999765$6.00
07-22 21:15Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.8699999275$6.00