0x30530fc2298001dafb50be179e0d94c862d08f2b
0x30530fc2298001dafb50be179e0d94c862d08f2b
- Realised P&L
- $-18.96
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $117.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.94at 0.152Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$13.80at 0.310Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?
- +$13.16at 0.261Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$10.74at 0.401Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$8.36at 0.381Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:59 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.8599999957 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 16:57 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:57 | Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:56 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 16:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.7299999744 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 16:54 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 16:53 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:53 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 16:53 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.6499999594 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 16:52 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:51 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.809999991 | $9.00 |
| 09-24 16:50 | Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:49 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 10:44 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 10:34 | Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5139999659 | $7.00 |