PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3052776d06122dde8e1a86f2ed9defb97940232a

Realised P&L
$-246.04
Volume
$24.9k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$192.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4150.240$144.61$105.39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2100.042$27.67$112.33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.038$16.09$33.91
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2800.017$4.42$70.58
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$25.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.0920.000$0.00$10.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$20.00
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$31.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$42.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$150.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$27.00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? · Yes0.3160.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 20:24Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.0274999974$10.00
07-14 20:23France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0924999917$10.00
07-14 19:36Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1924999928$21.00
07-09 19:01Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2274999948$25.00
07-09 19:00Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1424999941$20.00
06-27 23:36Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.2$10.00
06-27 14:15Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.4149148034$250.00
06-27 13:59Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.27$27.00
06-22 11:11 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.961$200.21
06-14 13:25Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.3163946743$20.00
06-14 13:24 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.599999999$125.00
06-14 00:25Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.6299999977$60.00
04-07 01:20Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.21$42.00
04-06 15:42Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?BUY0.5299933378$7.96
03-26 16:56Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" this week? (March 29)SELL0.996$19.15