Naiea
0x301f66bc749322894cace8646aa8b881664222f2
- Realised P&L
- $832.84
- Volume
- $172.5k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $664.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$261.42at 0.248Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$239.15at 0.630Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?
- +$150.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?
- +$100.00at 0.500Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
- +$68.50at 0.500Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:24 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.86 | $76.71 |
| 10-13 12:55 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $76.26 |
| 10-11 18:22 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.87 | $25.80 |
| 10-11 18:00 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.3607309302 | $15.51 |
| 10-11 17:56 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.92 | $73.60 |
| 10-11 12:22 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.86 | $21.50 |
| 10-11 02:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.416 | $16.22 |
| 10-10 01:44 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-09 14:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $19.77 |
| 10-08 11:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $14.80 |
| 10-08 01:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $16.00 |
| 10-07 12:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 10-07 01:56 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $14.96 |
| 10-06 19:23 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $8.91 |
| 10-05 04:15 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.953 | $20.24 |