PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ynadinsky

0x2ff67970fd327d8895bd4ed3b28a0e9af8327c7b

Realised P&L
$353.05
Volume
$61.6k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.7190.957$664.83+$164.83
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.635$635.00+$135.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.905$580.13+$80.13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4410.495$224.44+$24.44
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.875$224.36+$24.36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.7000.760$217.14+$17.14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4070.440$215.97+$15.97
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8760.921$210.39+$10.39
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7700.775$201.30+$1.30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7840.778$198.60−$1.40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.3700.365$197.30−$2.70
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.4800.905$188.54+$88.54
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.215$186.96−$13.04
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No0.7700.695$180.52−$19.48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2700.165$122.22−$77.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 12:58Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3699999995$96.07
10-10 10:41Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1676395747$100.00
10-10 10:37US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.7699999992$200.00
10-10 10:35Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.1199999999$100.00
10-10 10:35Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2299999998$200.00
10-10 10:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.16$100.00
10-10 10:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.4410999268$200.00
10-10 10:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.3699999997$200.00
10-10 10:24Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4069999995$200.00
10-10 10:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.6999999993$200.00
10-10 10:22Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?BUY0.7699999992$200.00
08-18 11:51Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7197636624$1.1k
08-18 11:50Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5$500.00
08-11 04:22US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999995$200.00
08-11 04:20Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0959999992$100.00