PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PhilippeRogiest

0x2ff0be8c711638194365f50a19fe60cab5689a61

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$27.8k
Markets traded
460
Open portfolio
$86.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded460
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5610.512$20.45$1.93
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9140.945$9.45+$0.30
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.5000.855$8.55+$3.55
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7200.845$8.45+$1.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$6.47$13.53
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2400.245$6.12+$0.12
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.2200.060$6.00$16.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8400.968$5.76+$0.76
Will Belgium win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.0980.035$3.50$6.30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3000.209$3.49$1.51
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.6700.340$2.38$2.31
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.017$1.83$2.39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4060.065$1.60$8.40
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.145$1.45+$0.05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4800.275$0.57$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 13:20Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-02?BUY0.5$2.50
08-29 07:47Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.914$9.14
08-28 08:16Will KRC Genk win on 2026-08-28?BUY0.67$6.70
08-28 08:15Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.4$2.00
08-26 10:32Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.14$1.40
08-16 07:15Will SK Beveren win on 2026-08-16?BUY0.3$3.00
08-15 08:28Will SK Beveren win on 2026-08-16?BUY0.73$7.30
08-11 13:32Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.67$4.69
08-11 08:16FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Team to AdvanceBUY0.28$2.80
08-06 14:07Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.63$6.30
08-06 13:33Will IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?BUY0.28$2.80
08-06 13:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?BUY0.65$5.20
08-06 13:16Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.53$5.30
08-03 06:28Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha AkugueBUY0.42$2.10
07-31 13:39Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.72$7.20