PhilippeRogiest
0x2ff0be8c711638194365f50a19fe60cab5689a61
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 460
- Open portfolio
- $86.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded460
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.29at 0.310Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
- +$104.84at 0.589Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
- +$84.87at 0.240Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 9?
- +$83.21at 0.551Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?
- +$65.44at 0.604Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 13:20 | Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-29 07:47 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.914 | $9.14 |
| 08-28 08:16 | Will KRC Genk win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 08-28 08:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 10:32 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-16 07:15 | Will SK Beveren win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-15 08:28 | Will SK Beveren win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 08-11 13:32 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 08-11 08:16 | FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-06 14:07 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-06 13:33 | Will IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-06 13:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 08-06 13:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-03 06:28 | Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 07-31 13:39 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |