PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Leonslv

0x2fa52606ee148c7a1776f9330c53785fc178fdcb

Realised P&L
$-46.10
Volume
$60.7k
Markets traded
448
Open portfolio
$56.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded448
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5000.935$9.35+$4.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1200.041$6.83$13.17
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0570.036$6.41$3.59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1720.065$3.37$5.63
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.046$3.32$6.68
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.065$3.17$16.83
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1530.029$2.79$12.21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.4900.285$2.33$1.67
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · Yes0.1320.059$2.21$2.79
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1070.029$2.21$5.79
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes0.0700.030$2.14$2.86
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1100.049$1.78$2.22
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3100.105$1.69$3.31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0890.028$1.57$3.43
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No0.4600.111$1.20$3.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 06:29Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4074999175$2.00
07-18 05:45Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999238$1.99
07-18 05:44France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-04 19:40Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.1$1.00
07-04 19:39Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$1.00
07-01 17:41Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.119999952$2.00
07-01 17:41Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$2.00
06-27 04:40Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-27 04:40Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-27 04:40Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
06-27 04:39Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-27 04:39Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.25$1.00
06-27 04:39Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-21 09:44Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-21 09:44Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.0699999363$1.00