PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Leonslv

0x2fa52606ee148c7a1776f9330c53785fc178fdcb

Realised P&L
$-30.93
Volume
$60.7k
Markets traded
448
Open portfolio
$70.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded448
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1200.065$10.83$9.17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5000.925$9.25+$4.25
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0570.043$7.62$2.38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1070.068$5.10$2.90
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · Yes0.0700.060$4.29$0.71
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1720.078$4.08$4.92
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1530.037$3.67$11.33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.065$3.17$16.83
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.040$2.82$7.18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.4900.325$2.65$1.35
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No0.4600.216$2.35$2.65
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3100.135$2.18$2.82
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0890.035$1.99$3.01
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1100.050$1.80$2.20
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1700.055$1.62$3.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 06:29Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4074999175$2.00
07-18 05:45Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999238$1.99
07-18 05:44France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-04 19:40Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.1$1.00
07-04 19:39Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$1.00
07-01 17:41Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.119999952$2.00
07-01 17:41Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$2.00
06-27 04:40Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-27 04:40Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-27 04:40Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
06-27 04:39Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-27 04:39Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.25$1.00
06-27 04:39Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-21 09:44Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-21 09:44Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.0699999363$1.00