PolyBot

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Traders

eranhaglili

0x2f535590dc4fd91582029a818774a2d5c8c54c54

Realised P&L
$150.22
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$101.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2450.145$31.36−$21.64
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0420.028$19.64−$10.36
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · Yes0.0600.100$16.67+$6.67
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5400.355$13.15−$6.85
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7800.964$12.35+$2.35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3400.270$7.94−$2.06
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$20.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$20.00
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$20.00
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$10.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.3850.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$20.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 08:16Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?BUY0.0599999999$10.00
09-26 08:12Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?BUY0.3505377679$20.00
09-14 17:38Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?BUY0.649999974$10.00
09-14 17:35Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0294614544$30.00
09-14 17:32Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.4199999966$20.00
08-21 12:30Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0419999987$30.00
08-09 17:54Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.35$37.50
07-19 20:51Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3849999908$10.00
07-17 14:13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
07-15 17:52Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
07-12 13:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
07-12 13:04Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.8299999701$20.00
07-12 13:02Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?BUY0.8599999991$20.00
07-10 19:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0129023339$10.00
07-03 18:11Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.7399999896$10.00