eranhaglili
0x2f535590dc4fd91582029a818774a2d5c8c54c54
- Realised P&L
- $150.22
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $101.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.16at 0.190Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$32.73at 0.550Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$27.62at 0.420Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$24.85at 0.446Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
- +$22.86at 0.724Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 08:16 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 08:12 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? | BUY | 0.3505377679 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 17:38 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 17:35 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0294614544 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 17:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 12:30 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0419999987 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 17:54 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $37.50 |
| 07-19 20:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3849999908 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 14:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 17:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 13:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 13:04 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999701 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 13:02 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 19:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0129023339 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 18:11 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |