PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

opa4aa

0x2f165454005415c1311e27def683e8405dc81e38

Realised P&L
$-591.97
Volume
$64.7k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0920.029$1.3k−$2.8k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1220.140$69.75+$8.75
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.025$41.44−$153.56
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2000.115$13.69−$10.12
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? · Yes0.5400.075$6.60−$40.89
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5160.215$1.51−$2.12
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.8360.000$0.00−$1.4k
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$59.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 14:34Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$300.00
06-15 17:31Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.64$200.00
06-15 16:40Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.8$300.00
06-15 16:03Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.91$920.00
06-05 18:55US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL0.978$2.5k
05-28 23:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.78$2.0k
05-09 08:06Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.0291579867$87.47
05-08 06:52Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.5k
05-08 06:25Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.025$75.00
04-08 16:29Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?BUY0.75$14.77
04-08 16:29Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?BUY0.74$7.28
04-08 16:28Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?BUY0.73$14.36
04-03 16:27Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?BUY0.95$15.00
04-03 16:01Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?BUY0.79$20.61
04-03 16:00Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?BUY0.78$20.34