MadamKlopsel
0x2ed0636a232102617bf37858689deb457629a062
- Realised P&L
- $-637.61
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $613.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.885 | $251.42 | +$1.42 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.585 | $140.40 | +$13.59 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.270 | $119.11 | −$115.30 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.510 | 1.000 | $40.00 | +$19.60 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.525 | $23.62 | −$16.42 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.544 | $19.04 | −$0.91 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.105 | $17.13 | −$33.45 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.095 | $2.38 | −$14.88 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.52at 0.636Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$263.87at 0.650Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$198.20at 0.702Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$185.70at 0.456EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$127.35at 0.797Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 06:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 05-27 19:38 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 05-27 19:38 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 05-27 19:37 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | BUY | 0.1495349463 | $20.00 |
| 04-14 11:37 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999991 | $200.00 |
| 04-05 13:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $250.00 |
| 04-05 13:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5283934717 | $250.00 |
| 04-05 05:13 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.5313712388 | $300.00 |
| 04-01 05:40 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.11 | $38.36 |
| 04-01 05:40 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0300536471 | $50.42 |
| 03-31 18:55 | Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.6644169685 | $96.26 |
| 03-31 18:55 | Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.9279999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 16:37 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2867698228 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 16:36 | Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.6159999989 | $95.46 |
| 03-31 16:36 | Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.9029999918 | $100.00 |