MadamKlopsel
0x2ed0636a232102617bf37858689deb457629a062
- Realised P&L
- $-624.31
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $596.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.945 | $268.47 | +$18.47 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.715 | $171.60 | +$44.79 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.300 | $132.34 | −$102.07 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.434 | $15.21 | −$4.74 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.055 | $8.97 | −$41.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.70at 0.456EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$127.35at 0.797Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$96.36at 0.757Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$81.33at 0.787Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$81.19at 0.453Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:47 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0982844875 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 20:45 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6104651156 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 20:37 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4384292728 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 20:32 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8964143415 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 20:17 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5277777778 | $23.75 |
| 09-27 20:09 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0615384615 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 19:37 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $3.49 |
| 09-27 19:12 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.098153407 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 04:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $2.02 |
| 09-03 06:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 05-27 19:38 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 05-27 19:38 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 05-27 19:37 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | BUY | 0.1495349463 | $20.00 |
| 04-14 11:37 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999991 | $200.00 |
| 04-05 13:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $250.00 |