PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2e6ba578fad3104a5146caaf3c25cf63d703c9ac

0x2e6ba578fad3104a5146caaf3c25cf63d703c9ac

Realised P&L
$276.21
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$183.11

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$22.32−$2.68
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.6500.675$20.77+$0.77
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4700.475$20.21+$0.21
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4620.465$20.11+$0.11
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3600.605$16.81+$6.81
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.5370.545$15.23+$0.23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5300.635$11.98+$1.98
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6000.625$10.42+$0.42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2030.207$10.23+$0.23
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4340.408$9.41−$0.59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1180.089$7.58−$2.42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.195$4.88−$0.13
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.2350.217$4.62−$0.38
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$4.32−$0.68
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.085$3.86−$6.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 00:06China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechBUY0.6099999756$5.00
10-01 00:05Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
10-01 00:03Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesBUY0.5599999955$10.00
09-30 10:52Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-30 02:48Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.6499999951$20.00
09-30 02:48Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-30 01:45Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
09-30 01:04Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.539999986$10.00
09-30 01:04Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
09-30 01:04Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.459999988$10.00
09-29 06:59Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.2353209055$5.00
09-28 23:33Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5199999792$10.00
09-28 23:32Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-28 02:12Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-28 02:06Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3699999867$10.00